Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Meet the #5 Seed, 2012 Philadelphia Flyers

We all hate Philadelphia, and especially the Flyers.  For Pittsburghers, it’s genetic; for Pittsburgh fans, it’s an acquired taste; but one thing is simple, Philly’s loss is our gain.  So as the Pens head into their first round rivalry matchup against the hated Flyers, let’s take a look at why you hate this specific 2012 Philadelphia Flyers team and a brief look at what you should know about them individually:

Let’s start with the suits really quick:
GM Paul Holmgren – Give Holmgren credit, he is decisive and fearless, albeit a little unstable sometimes, when he decides he needs to make a move.  He traded away Jeff Carter and Mike Richards this summer, and followed it up with giving Ilya Bryzgalov a 9 year, $51 million contract.  He may not win it all with this team, but he certainly has the guts to do anything necessary to have a chance at the Cup.

Coach Peter Laviolette – Lavy may also be crazy based on his tirade a week and a half ago that landed him a $10,000 fine, but he knows how to get results.  He has a Stanley Cup ring from coaching the 2006 Hurricanes to a Cup win and he was just one vote shy of winning the Jack Adams award in the same year.  He has the credentials, and the intelligence, but the question is does he have the team and the patience to handle them this year.
Laviolette might want to curb this demeanor a little.

Now on to the roster!

The Talent:
Claude Giroux – Hate him because he’s a Flyer, but you have to respect his game.  He missed 5 games with a concussion and finished 3rd in scoring with 93 points.  He led the NHL with 38 powerplay points but puts in short-handed time as well.  Giroux has the hands, the skill, and the vision, so expect him to be a threat at all times.
Girls love him for some reason too.

The Former Pens:
Jaromir Jagr – Started by helping the Pens to Stanley Cups in ’91 and ’92, and then spurned them for their biggest rival in his NHL return just last summer.  Jagr still has a wicked wrist shot, but may have durability issues, and will draw the ire of Pens fans whether for his “dying alive” statements long ago or his decision this past summer.  One thing is clear, if he has time and space, he’s beating you glove side.

Max Talbot – The folk hero that brought the Stanley Cup to Pittsburgh in ’09 left for Philly this past summer to the chagrin of Pens fans everywhere.  He put together a revival season for his career, scoring 19 goals, and is always dangerous in his checking role.  You already know he can be a spark plug…but just imagine how he can incite his former fans and teammates.  He probably knows a little too much about how to irritate the Pens than I would like.
How many people just vomited in their mouth?

The Second-Hand “Stars”:
Danny Briere – Little Danny Briere can be a star or a flop, all in the same period.  He’s an overpaid, undersized veteran at this point, but he has never shown the ability to lead his team on his own.  Given room, he can be dangerous with some stellar passing abilities, but as Joe Vitale demonstrated, a hard check can knock him down quickly.

Jakub Voracek – While Briere above will be hot or cold by period, Voracek will likely be hot or cold for the whole series.  Keep him down in Game 1 and he may drift away quietly, but if he scores a big goal, he will put up big numbers throughout the series.  He finished the season hot with 10 points in 7 games (including a 3 point game against Pittsburgh).  Often overlooked due to a lack of physical play, Voracek was still 4th on the team in takeaways, so the Pens need to beware of him in the neutral zone.


The Young Up and Comers:
Matt Read – Read was red hot for the first 2 months of the season before getting a little lost in the Flyers depth chart after a slump.  He is another takeaway specialist and had a knack for coming up clutch as he led the team with 6 game winning goals.  He’s a solid role player as a rookie and will likely improve as he gets his feet wet in his first playoff experience. 
He scored his 1st goal quickly and added over 20 more in his rookie year.

Sean Couturier – Making the team unexpectedly out of camp, Couturier was drafted in the 1st round this past summer and made a great impression with Philly very fast.  He played a big part on their penalty kill and was the 2nd best takeaway guy on the team to Giroux, despite getting much less ice time.  The Pens will have a chance to take advantage of him in the faceoff circle, where he only won at a 47% rate despite taking over 800 faceoffs this season.  At 6’3, he doesn’t even weigh 200 lbs, so the Pens will want to use their big bodies on him heavily to wear him down.

The Talented Agitators:
Scott Hartnell – He led the team in hits, was 2nd in shots, and led the team with 37 goals in an all-star season.  We all hate Scott Hartnell.  He’s a dbag, but he knows how to succeed.  Hartnell is an expert at getting under the opposition’s skin and placing himself around the crease at all times, where he is very adept with his stick.  Pittsburgh will have to avoid playing his mind games and make sure he doesn’t get in Fleury’s way.

Wayne Simmonds – Simmonds is just a true hockey player in every sense.  He can hit, has a scoring touch, and will do everything necessary to win a game.  He has a great hockey sense, especially around the net, and he isn’t afraid of getting involved with anyone.  Really, Simmonds is a blue collar guy that will get under your skin through goals and timely plays.  Keeping him to the outside and away from the front of the net will be paramount.
If you can't respect this, I can't respect you.

The Sometimes Idiotic Muscle:
Jody Shelley – Who knows if Shelley even touches the ice, but if he does he won’t be doing much.  He registered 1 point this season and is exists more as a preemptive strike than to do anything in the game.  Don’t worry yourself with this goon, any shift he takes in this series will be an opportunity for the Pens to make him look like a fool.

Zac Rinaldo – Rinaldo however, comes with a much better skating ability though far less brains in how he uses it.  He almost led the league in penalty minutes this year.  He will attempt to be a spark plug with big, though often borderline hits.  If he crosses the line, the Pens have to let him be punished and stick to their game.  Just like Hartnell, Rinaldo will try to draw their focus and distract them from playing systematic hockey.
Best part of the season?  Letang knocking over Hartnell,
who then high-sticked Rinaldo in the teeth.

The Annoying Energy: 
Eric Wellwood – Wellwood has had an impressive ability this season for elevating his game against the Penguins.  He is a very quick skater who did not play much during the season but has enough skill to warrant a look.  He was a +12 in just 24 games this season, posting 9 points and only averaging 10 minutes of ice time per game.  Think Joe Vitale with more of a scoring touch.

Brayden Schenn – Schenn is a kid with a very bright future as a former 1st round pick in ’09 but for now he just plugs holes for the Flyers when necessary.  With depth up the middle already pretty strong, the Flyers use Schenn for about 13-14 minutes per game as a 3rd line center.  He has a scoring touch, can play gritty (and crosscheck people in the back) and generally has a very versatile game to match his opponents.

Harry Zolnierczyk – Zolnierczyk is another energy type guy, though at a -11 on the season, the Flyers will refrain from using him much.  He is more of a throw away guy for smaller fights or short shifts to give the big guys a rest.  He only managed 6 points in 37 games and was mainly a liability when he couldn’t find his way to the penalty box.

The Points from the Point:
Kimmo Timonen – My best memory of TImonen will always be Kunitz trying to kill him back in 2009.  But more to the point, he’s a veteran defenseman that has made many playoff runs at this point and will keep this group calm and focused.  He has a solid shot from the point and won’t be intimidated by Pittsburgh’s skill. 
Keep your head up there Timonen.

Matt Carle – Carle has missed usual defensive Chris Pronger greatly this season, but he has survived well enough to still put together a strong season.  He has a great passing presence from the blue line and rushes pucks up through the neutral zone very well.  He is also very capable in his own end and quick to make slides for coverages.  He will be a big help to the Flyers PP as well as handling the 2nd and 3rd lines likely.

The Shut Down Men:
Braydon Coburn – Coburn does not receive enough credit for how strong he actually is defensively.  He can hold his ground against anyone and is very smart about his positioning, especially when covering around the crease.  He may give a little space to the Pens quicker forwards because he doesn’t want to get beat, so the Pens will have to try to exploit that with Dupuis and Sullivan especially.

Andreas Lilja – Lilja is already very familiar with the Pens and demonstrated it against them over the past week.  He knows how to play Malkin, like really knows how to do it.  Expect him to do his best to be physical on the Pens big 3 centers because I will tell you something, Lilja isn’t afraid of them after his time in Detroit.
Most priceless experience anyone on Philly could possibly have.

The New Comers:
Nicklas Grossmann – Grossmann was laughed at as a fix for the Flyers defense, but it turns out the kid can actually play.  He won’t do anything flashy, but he has good hockey sense in the defensive zone and generally knows to be in the right places.  His knee may still be sore from Vitale’s rage a couple of weeks ago, but Grossmann should hold his own just fine.

Pavel Kubina – Apparently we shouldn’t expect to see Kubina play.  He has been around the league a bit; he’s a big body with some skill, though he hasn’t looked strong for the Flyers at all since arriving from Tampa Bay.  There are rumors flying that he will be healthy scratched for Game 1, so I guess he doesn’t fit in quite as well as Holmgren wanted.

The Wild Card:
Marc-Andre Bourdon – Bourdon has a lot of talent though I’m not sure he is quite ripe for playoff hockey against the best offensive team in the league yet.  The skills are there, but the Pens forwards should be able to have their way with him just based on their vision and speed.  If he plays wiser than his age though, he may be a big equalizer in depth for the Flyers.

The Injured:
Chris Pronger, James van Riemsdyk and Andrej Meszaros – Pronger is out for the season and the latter 2 are not expected to be back in for this series, so don’t worry about it.  Be very happy actually as Meszaros is a veteran on that blue line and JVR had a great playoff run last year.  The Pens are lucky to not be facing these 3 as the Flyers will be tough already.  Pronger may have made them the Cup favorite.

The Crazy Russian Goalies:
Ilya Bryzgalov – No one knows what to expect out of Bryzgalov with the humongous universe on his shoulders.  He has faltered in the playoffs before with Phoenix, but has also been quite successful with Anaheim.  Really, you can flip a coin to determine what he will provide for the Flyers.  The key will be getting into his head…if the Pens can play some games with his head, mainly around the crease and taking surprising shots, Bryz may be out early.
HUMONGOUS 
Sergei Bobrovsky – Bobrovsky FINALLY lost at Consol after some great games there over the past 2 seasons.  He is a solid goaltender when facing a heavy workload, but seems to struggle a little more in light games.  I don’t expect to see him unless Bryz falters multiple times, but if he does come in, his confidence will be the key.  Beat him early and he will falter, but he definitely gets better as the game goes on.

Sunday, April 8, 2012

Brief Season in Review

Before we move on to the NHL’s 2nd season, the more important one, let’s take a moment to look at some final stats, highs, lows, and other miscellaneous tidbits that have the Pens sitting in 4th in the Conference.  If you’re really bored, check out my season predictions and laugh at how off I was on some of these things:  http://crosbyftw.blogspot.com/2011/10/pens-season-preview-2011-2012.html

Win/Loss:
Record:  51-25-6, 108 pts.  2nd in the Atlantic, 4th in the East (though, 4th in the NHL)
Home: 29-10-2 (4th in NHL)
Away: 22-15-4 (7th)
Shootouts: 9-3 (7th)

Goals:
Goals For: 282 (1st)
Goals Against: 221 (12th)
Differential: +61  (2nd)

Special Teams:
Power Play: 19.7% (5th)
- Power Play Opportunities: 289 (7th)
- Short-Handed Goals Allowed: 10 (26th)
Penalty Kill: 87.8% (3rd) *Franchise Record
- Times Shorthanded: 270 (15th)
- Short-Handed Goals: 11 (3rd)
Geno may have led the team in scoring, but these 3 were integral parts of the PP's success.

Random:
Hits: 2058 (6th)
Blocked Shots: 1065 (22nd)
Missed Shots: 1088 (2nd)
Giveaways: 498 (28th)
Takeaways: 439 (30th)
Faceoffs: 50.4% (13th)
- The Pens won 45.7% of the games in which they allowed the 1st goal, the highest % in the NHL.


Transactions:
- Marc Letestu was traded to Columbus for a 4th round draft pick.
- Chris Kunitz received a 2 year extension for $3.725 mil./yr.
- James Neal received a 6 year extension for $5 mil./yr. 
Neal became a part of the "core" of this team this year.
  
Season Highlights:
- Opening Night, 10/6: 4-3 (SO) win over Vancouver.  Led by a shocking 2 goal performance from the new Matt Cooke, the Pens won in Vancouver to start off the season with a playoff type win (minus the shootout)

- 10/27: 3-2 (SO) win over NYI: The Pens extended their winning streak to 5 games to take their record to 8-2-2, tops in the NHL early on.

- 11/21: 5-0 win over NYI:  Sid’s Return Part I.  Crosby came back from his concussion in dramatic fashion, scoring the 1st goal of the game and putting up a 4 point night to dazzle the NHL in his long-awaited return.
Everyone was all smiles as Crosby skated around the corner with a big
"F*ck Yeah!!"

- 12/27: 4-2 win over Car:  The culmination of a 4 game win streak which saw the PK return to perfection and the PP score 6 goals in 4 games. 

- 1/31: 5-4 (SO) win over Tor:  The Pens 8th win in a row, 5 of which had come in OT, 4 of which had been in a shootout.  Fleury started every game of the streak and simply had all the answers when he needed them most.
The shootout may be a gimmick, but Fleury has perfected it.

- 3/15: 5-2 win over NYR:  Sid’s Return Part II.  The Pens were on the tail end of an 11 game win streak which would see them streak towards the top of the Conference and they were just getting healthy as they had their captain return yet again.  They would win their next game before losing the streak to Philly.

- 4/7: 4-2 win over Phi:  Though the game was meaningless, the Pens still managed to finish the season on a 3 game win streak and beat the Flyers for the first time in Consol Energy Center.


Season Lowlights:
- 11/19: 3-2 loss to Fla:  The Pens hit a rough stretch, losing 3 of 4 games to Car, TB, and Fla, and watching the powerplay hit a 1 for 21 slump while the PK allowed 2 goals for the 2nd game in a row.

- 12/5: 3-1 loss to Bos:  The loss to Boston was tough, but the bigger loss was Crosby re-injuring himself from a multitude of collisions, sending him off with concussion like symptoms yet again.

- 12/16: 6-4 loss to Ott:  The 4th loss in 5 games since Crosby went out, and the 6th straight game the PK let up a goal.  Panic began to take over Pens nation after this Friday night loss.
BJ wasn't himself and the D didn't help.

- 12/29: 4-2 loss to Phi:  In the much anticipated return of Talbot and Jagr to Pittsburgh, the Flyers watched both of them score to end the Pens 4 game win streak, and send them into what turned into a very rough losing streak.

- 1/11: 1-0 loss to Was:  The Pens went on a major goal scoring drought, scoring just 6 goals in 6 games, all losses highlighted by a frustrating 1-0 loss to the rival Caps.  The Pens outshot every team during the losing streak, and only received 14 powerplays through the streak, easily a 6 game low.

- 3/29: 5-3 loss to NYI:  The Pens lost their 2nd straight game to the Isles, by 5-3 in both games and panic set in for what was supposed to be an unbeatable team.

- 4/1: 6-4 loss to Phi:  In a game that simply turned into a disaster at the end, the Pens played poor defense and then got into a line brawl to end the game off of clean hit.  Peter Laviolette and Tony Granato got into a shouting match in between the benches and were both fined for the mess.
This may be the defining point of the season in the end.


Players Overrated Going Into the Season:

Paul Martin – I don’t think I have to write much about this, it’s safe to say that everyone has been disappointed in his performance from top to bottom.  Not enough offense, weak shot, poor defense, pinches too much….just pick a complaint.  His final stat line was: 73gp, 2g, 25a, +9, 18 PIM.  It really isn’t a bad stat line…until you consider his $5 mil contract and if you’ve watched him play.
This was the story of Paul Martin:  missing.

Brent Johnson – Johnny may have set the expectations a little too high when he saved Fleury at the start of the season.  He had a rough go for most of the season, though he came up very strong towards the end for the Pens.  His final stat line: 16gp, 6-7-2, 3.11 GAA, .883 Save %.  It will be interesting to see if the Pens want to retain him for next season.  He’s a great locker room guy, cheap, and Thiessen doesn’t look ready to me, but we shall see.

Tyler Kennedy – Coming off of a career year, he was one of the bigger question marks going into last offseason.  Without top PP and top line time this year though, he was a disappointment after last year.  His final stat line:  60gp, 11g, 22a, +10, 29 PIM.  Hidden disappointing stat: 5.6 shooting %.  He finished 5th on the team in shots on net, but 15th in shooting %.  That pretty much sums up his disappointing year.


Players Underrated Going Into the Season:
This section literally could be half the roster, so I’ll try to keep it short, I know I left players out.

Pascal Dupuis – No one saw Dupuis breaking out like this, having a career year in all aspects.  He put up a 17 game point streak to end the season and was simply fantastic all year.  His final stat line:  82gp, 25g, 34a, +18, 34 PIM.  Dupuis finished 4th on the team in scoring, raise your hand if you saw that coming.
Dupuis has turned into the ultimate spark plug and threat.

Matt Cooke – It was hard to know what Cooke would do coming off of his season ending suspension last year.  He had the talent, but would he use his brain?  He did.  Final stats:  82gp, 19g, 19a, +5, 44 PIM.  Big 2 for me: 82gp and 44 PIM.  Very impressive numbers for Cooke and a true inspiration for change.

James Neal – After Neal slumped his way out of everyone’s hearts through the playoff run last year, predictions were all over this year.  Guess what, it didn’t matter what anyone predicted, he beat them all.  Final stats:  80gp, 40g, 41a, +6, 87 PIM.  I could have done without some of those 87 PIM, but 40 goals from Neal is success no matter how you look at it.  18 of those goals were on the PP too, helping a dismal PP from last year.
It took him far too long to get on the roster, but he surely deserved it.

Steve Sullivan – Sullivan seemed like a good bargain and depth signing going into the season.  What he turned into was a durable powerplay specialist that the Pens badly needed.  Final stats:  79gp, 17g, 31a, -3, 20 PIM.  21 of his 48 points came on the PP as he joined Neal to help that unit out greatly.  The 79gp are still a shock to me for the former Masterton winner who has missed well over 100 games in his career due to injuries.

Evgeni Malkin – I’ll end this with a player that everyone knew was great but no one was sure how great he would be this season.  I can certainly tell you I did not predict Malkin would score 50 and put up a Hart worthy season as he led this team without Sid for much of the year.  Final stats: 75gp, 50g, 59a, +18, 70 PIM.  He took fewer stupid penalties, scored more goals, and simply kept his head in the game throughout most of the season.  He literally grew up in front of our eyes this year into a league MVP (though not official yet).
Time to push for Conn Smythe #2! 

Individual Stats Leaders:
Goals:  Malkin (50)
Assists:  Malkin (59)
Pts:  Malkin (109)
+/-:  Letang (+21)
PIM:  Neal (87)
Avg. Time on Ice: Letang (24:50)
Shots:  Malkin (339)
Shooting %:  Staal (16.8%)
Staal found his scoring touch from his rookie season again.

Hits: Orpik (259)
Blocked Shots: Michalek (144)
Missed Shots: Neal (123)
Giveaways:  Malkin (73) *Next Highest: Martin (39)
Takeaways:  Malkin (52) *Next Highest:  Staal (39)
Faceoff %: Vitale (55.7%)
Faceoffs, Fights, PK, Joe Vitale demonstrated he can do it all this year.

- Asham and Engelland led the team in fights with 8 each
- Malkin was on for the most goals for, 132
- Martin and Orpik were on for the most goals against overall, 81 for each
- Interesting stat on Martin: He is a +14 against the Atlantic, but a -5 against other divisions
- Malkin was the team shootout leader, going 8 for 11.


Team Awards:
Baz Bastien Memorial “Good Guy” Award (Media Cooperation) – Fleury & Dupuis
NHL Masterton Nominee (Dedication to Hockey) – Cooke
A.T. Caggiano Memorial Booster Club Cup (Most 3 Star Votes) – Malkin
Player’s Player Award (Leadership) – Orpik
Edward J. DeBartolo “Community Service” Award (Charity Work) – Malkin
Defensive Player of the Year (Best Defensively) – Orpik & Fleury
MVP (Best Overall) - Malkin


Now, ON TO THE PLAYOFFS!!!

Pens End the Regular Season with a Win

Main Storylines:
- While this is a “meaningless game”, quite a few players are looking for milestones.  Most importantly, the Flyers have yet to lose in Consol in heading into the last game of the season.

- These teams are locked into the 4/5 matchup.  Don’t expect too much craziness because they both know next week is far more important than anything today.

- While this is a playoff preview, it also isn’t.  Flyers aren’t dressing Giroux, Briere, and Grossmann.  Pens aren’t dressing Neal, Sullivan, Niskanen.

Result:
Pens  4  Flyers  2
Goals:  Dupuis (25) from Asham, Staal
            Kunitz (26) from Malkin
            Crosby (8) (PP) from Kunitz, Staal
            Malkin (50) from Letang, Crosby

Stats/Milestones:
- Goals: Dupuis (25), Kunitz (26), Malkin (50)
Just an unreal season for Dupuis, what a stud.
- Point Streak: Dupuis (17 games)

- Points Malkin (109), Staal (50), Dupuis (59), Kunitz (61)

- Evgeni Malkin will officially win the Art Ross Trophy for finishing as the league’s leading scorer.
Not quite how I want him celebrating #50, but better than Neal's #40 celebration.

- The crowd set a new record at Consol Energy Center, packing in 18,616 to see the season finale.

The Good:
- The refs did a fantastic job in this game.  Everyone was worried about what shenanigans may occur, but after an early fight between Joe Vitale and Harry Zolnierczyk, nothing dirty or gritty occurred.  The refs called a pretty tight game and even gave Shelley a 10 minute misconduct before he could get in any real trouble or take a penalty.  I expect that type of reffing all series.
Oh yeah, and Vitale won, by a landslide.
- The defense was the best I have seen in weeks, though obviously not going against Giroux or Briere helped a bit.  Michalek and Letang played exceptionally well, both making some great diving breakups and stops.

The Bad:
- I will be quite happy to see the end of the Engelland/Strait pairing.  Mostly on Strait’s part.  I don’t believe he’s nearly as ready as the Pens seem to, as I would prefer Despres over him right now.  The Schenn goal was on account of a lack of communication between Engo and Strait as neither knew who should go into the high slot to cover him.  Strait is a little too untethered in his coverage for my liking right now.  Hopefully Niskanen will be healthy and ready as the playoffs start.

- The powerplay did score a goal, but looked awful on their 5 minute major chance.  I will let this slide because they were trying to feed Malkin constantly and were also without Sullivan and Neal, but it still goes under bad for this game.

- It was sad to see Fleury get pulled on the verge of franchise record breaking win #227 just to see Johnson allow a goal instantly to give Fleury a no decision.  Fleury looked visibly displeased on the jumbotron, but hey, a game plan is a game plan.  Just have to wait til next year flower!
Johnson went straight to Fleury and shook his head in apology after the game.

The Ugly:
- Zac Rinaldo took a 5 minute major for checking from behind and a game misconduct when he crushed Michalek into the boards from behind.  I honestly believe half of this penalty was because of the refs wanting to keep control of the game and because his last name was Rinaldo.  He received a warning earlier in the shift from a ref after hitting Kennedy and was promptly thrown out after that hit.  The refs clearly wanted to take control and I approve of them acting in that way towards both teams.

Thoughts:
- Here are your East matchups: NYR – Ott, Bos – Was, Fla – NJ, Pit – Phi….guess who has the winning records in each series?  Not who you expect: Ott, Was, Fla, Phi.

- The 3rd period was clearly both teams dropping into a stance of, let’s not get hurt, let’s not get into trouble, we’ll settle everything over the next 2 weeks.  Props to both teams for being smart with that.

- Though this was a meaningless game, I believe it was HUGE to beat the Flyers in Consol so they couldn’t go into the playoff series with that over our heads.  They will rationalize it based on the players they were missing, but the result does not change, it was a big psyche win whether anyone admits it or not.

- I’ll save the rest for future posts in the next few days, I PLAN on doing a Regular Season Review, Flyers Roster Preview, and Pens-Flyers Series Preview before the playoffs get underway…we’ll see how much I can accomplish.  Thanks for reading!


Pens Record: 51-25-6, 108 pts, 2nd in the Atlantic, 4th in the East
Next Game:  TBD, Playoffs announced Sunday, 4/8 at 1pm.  Likely 1st 4 games: Wed, Fri, Sun, Wed